[1]靳文舟,裴晓航,汤左淦,等.考虑碰撞角色的双车事故驾驶伤害程度研究[J].深圳大学学报理工版,2022,39(2):230-236.[doi:10.3724/SP.J.1249.2022.02230]
 JIN Wenzhou,PEI Xiaohang,TANG Zuogan,et al.Driver injury severity in two-vehicle accidents considering collision role[J].Journal of Shenzhen University Science and Engineering,2022,39(2):230-236.[doi:10.3724/SP.J.1249.2022.02230]
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考虑碰撞角色的双车事故驾驶伤害程度研究()
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《深圳大学学报理工版》[ISSN:1000-2618/CN:44-1401/N]

卷:
第39卷
期数:
2022年第2期
页码:
230-236
栏目:
交通物流
出版日期:
2022-03-15

文章信息/Info

Title:
Driver injury severity in two-vehicle accidents considering collision role
文章编号:
202202016
作者:
靳文舟1裴晓航1汤左淦12姚尹杰1
1)华南理工大学土木与交通学院,广东广州 510640
2)深圳市城市交通规划设计研究中心,广东深圳 518057
Author(s):
JIN Wenzhou1PEI Xiaohang1TANG Zuogan12and YAO Yinjie1
1) School of Civil Engineering and Transportation, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong Province, P. R. China
2) Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd., Shenzhen 518057, Guangdong Province, P. R. China
关键词:
交通安全交通事故驾驶员伤害程度碰撞角色交互效应logit模型随机森林
Keywords:
traffic safety traffic accident driver injury severity collision role interaction effect logit model random forest
分类号:
X913.4
DOI:
10.3724/SP.J.1249.2022.02230
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为研究双车事故中驾驶员伤害程度的影响因素及碰撞角色的交互作用,基于中国深圳市在2018—2020年的双车碰撞事故数据,利用随机森林算法计算特征变量的重要度以筛选出候选自变量,建立考虑碰撞角色的驾驶员受伤严重程度二元logit模型.结果表明,碰撞角色、事故责任、车型、事故形态、驾龄、能见度、车辆间碰撞形态、学历、道路等级、安全保护装置使用情况、路侧防护设施类型及照明条件与双车事故驾驶员的伤害程度显著相关;碰撞角色与车型和事故形态存在显著的交互效应.研究结果有助于深入理解双车事故中驾驶员伤害程度的影响机理,帮助交通管理部门制定相应的交通安全对策.
Abstract:
In order to study the influencing factors of driver injury severity and the interaction effects of collision roles in two-vehicle accidents, based on the data of two-vehicle collision accidents in Shenzhen from 2018 to 2020, we calculate the value of importance degree of characteristic variables by using random forest algorithm to screen out the candidate independent variables, and establish a binary logit model of driver injury severity considering collision angle. The results show that collision role, accident responsibility, vehicle type, accident form, driving experience, visibility, collision form between vehicles, educational background, road grade, use of safety protection devices, roadside protection facilities and lighting conditions are significantly associated with the driver injury severity in two-vehicle accidents. Meanwhile, there are significant interaction effects among collision role, vehicle type and accident form. The results are helpful for understanding the influence mechanism of driver injury severity in two-vehicle accidents and can help traffic management departments to formulate corresponding traffic safety countermeasures.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
Received: 2021-04-07; Accepted: 2021-09-27; Online (CNKI): 2021-11-08
Foundation: National Natural Science Foundation of China (52072128)
Corresponding author: Professor JIN Wenzhou.E-mail: ctwzhjin@scut.edu.cn
Citation: JIN Wenzhou, PEI Xiaohang, TANG Zuogan, et al. Driver injury severity in two-vehicle accidents considering collision role [J]. Journal of Shenzhen University Science and Engineering, 2022, 39(2): 230-236.(in Chinese)
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(52072128)
作者简介:靳文舟(1960—),华南理工大学教授、博士生导师.研究方向:交通运输规划、运输经济、运输政策及交通安全管理与秩序管理.E-mail: ctwzhjin@scut.edu.cn.
引 文:靳文舟,裴晓航,汤左淦,等.考虑碰撞角色的双车事故驾驶伤害程度研究[J].深圳大学学报理工版,2022,39(2):230-236.
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-03-30