[1]何流,陈大伟,卢静,等.基于出行链的居民出行次数建模与仿真[J].深圳大学学报理工版,2012,29(No.3(189-282)):264-269.[doi:10.3724/SP.J.1249.2012.03264]
 HE Liu,CHEN Da-wei,LU Jing,et al.Modeling and simulating of residents’ number of trips based on trip chain[J].Journal of Shenzhen University Science and Engineering,2012,29(No.3(189-282)):264-269.[doi:10.3724/SP.J.1249.2012.03264]
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基于出行链的居民出行次数建模与仿真()
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《深圳大学学报理工版》[ISSN:1000-2618/CN:44-1401/N]

卷:
第29卷
期数:
2012年No.3(189-282)
页码:
264-269
栏目:
交通物流
出版日期:
2012-05-21

文章信息/Info

Title:
Modeling and simulating of residents’ number of trips based on trip chain
作者:
何流陈大伟卢静李旭宏
东南大学交通学院,南京 210096
Author(s):
HE Liu CHEN Da-wei LU Jing and LI Xu-hong
School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, P.R.China
关键词:
载运工具运用工程 出行链 出行次数 logistic回归 泊松方程 NL模型 计算机仿真
Keywords:
vehicle operation engineering trip chain number of trips logistic regression Poisson equation NL model computer simulation
分类号:
U 121
DOI:
10.3724/SP.J.1249.2012.03264
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
基于出行链理论,对居民日出行情况进行建模与仿真.将出行者分为3类,分别建立学生出行次数logistic回归模型、老年人出行次数泊松分布模型及就业者NL(数状分对数)出行选择模型.结合城市宏观社会经济数据,对模型进行仿真求解,得到不同类别出行者的出行次数.以中国中部城市郑州市为例,对模型的实用性和准确性进行验证.结果表明,通过计算机建模仿真得到的居民日平均出行次数和现状调查结果基本一致.
Abstract:
The number of trips is an essential part of travel characteristics of urban traffic. Based on the theory of trip chain, modeling and stimulation are used to predict the future number of trips made by urban residents. By dividing the travelers into three types, three respective models were built in the study: the logistic regression model for students, the Poisson model for the elderly and the nested-logit(NL) model for employees. Then through combining the economic data of the macro-society, the number of trips by travelers of different types and the detailed daily trip chain of a single person could be obtained by simulation. A real-life case of the city of Zhengzhou was used to verify the simulation and the result shows the number of trips obtained by simulation is almost in accordance with survey result, indicating that the model can provide scientific and constructive suggestions for traffic planners to make transportation predictions.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
Received:2011-03-07;Revised:2011-06-27;Accepted:2012-03-30
Foundation:Science and Technology Projects of Ministry of Transport of China (2008353341260)
Corresponding author:Associate professor CHEN Da-wei. E-mail: dw.chen@qq.com
Citation:HE Liu, CHEN Da-wei, LU Jing, et al. Modeling and simulating of residents number of trips based on trip chain[J]. Journal of Shenzhen University Science and Engineering, 2012, 29(3): 264-269.(in Chinese)
基金项目:交通运输部科技项目(2008353341260)
作者简介:何流(1986-),男(汉族),江苏省南京市人,东南大学博士研究生. E-mail:pinknightelf@163.com
引文:何流, 陈大伟, 卢静,等. 基于出行链的居民出行次数建模与仿真[J]. 深圳大学学报理工版,2012,29(3):264-269.
更新日期/Last Update: 2012-05-28