[1]田一梅,秦 琦,王 杨.管网在线-人工监测系统余氯预测Logistic回归模型[J].深圳大学学报理工版,2007,24(2):200-205.
 TIAN Yi-mei,QIN Qi,and WANG Yang.Residual chlorine prediction logistic regression model of online-manual monitoring in water distribution systems[J].Journal of Shenzhen University Science and Engineering,2007,24(2):200-205.
点击复制

管网在线-人工监测系统余氯预测Logistic回归模型()
分享到:

《深圳大学学报理工版》[ISSN:1000-2618/CN:44-1401/N]

卷:
第24卷
期数:
2007年2期
页码:
200-205
栏目:
化学与化工
出版日期:
2007-04-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Residual chlorine prediction logistic regression model of online-manual monitoring in water distribution systems
文章编号:
1000-2618(2007)02-0200-06
作者:
田一梅秦 琦王 杨
天津大学环境科学与工程学院,天津300072
Author(s):
TIAN Yi-meiQIN Qiand WANG Yang
School of Environment Science and Engineering,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,P. R. China
关键词:
供水管网余氯Logistic回归在线-人工监测预测模型
Keywords:
water distribution systemsresidual chlorinelogistic regressiononline-manual monitoringforcasting model
分类号:
TU 991.21
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
根据国内管网水质监测现状,对南方某城市供水管网多项水质指标进行检测,选择余氯为预测指标,以在线监测水质指标为影响变量,建立在线-人工监测系统的Logistic回归模型,对管网末梢余氯达标与否进行概率预测.经实例验证,预测结果达到了较高的准确度,可通过少量在线监测点预测并了解整个管网水质状况.
Abstract:
According to the domestic actuality of the water quality monitoring,detecting and analyzing of some water quality indexes of water supply networks in a city of south China,residual chlorine is selected as the forecasting index. And logistic regression model of online-manual monitoring system is established with on-line monitoring data selected as effect variance. So whether the water quality is eligible can be forecasted. Result shows that the model can forecast water quality with high precision. The problem of forecasting and controlling water quality with fewer monitoring points can be solved.

参考文献/References:

[1]Lee B H,Deininger R A.配水管网中监测点位的优化配置[J].环境能源,1992,118(1):4-16(英文版).
[2] 孙瑛.管网水质的在线监测[J].净水技术,2004,23(6):34-36.
[3] 许阳,祝建平.杭州管网水质实时监测系统[J].给水排水,2002,28(2): 91-93.
[4] 高占祥.水质在线监测中的若干问题[J].城市环境与城市生态,2002,15(4):39-40.
[5] 周建华,赵洪宾,薛罡.配水管网中与有机物反应的余氯衰减动力学模型[J].环境科学,2003,23(3):45-49.
[6] Manuel J R,Jean-B Serodes. 城市饮用水系统中余氯的线性与非线性经验模型的评估[J].环境模型与软件,1999,14:93-102(英文版).
[7] Lewis A Rossman,Paul F Boulos.配水系统中水质数学模型与方法的比较[J].水源的计划编制与管理,1996,(2):137-146(英文版).
[8] DeMaris,Alfred. Logistic 回归模型指南[J].婚姻与家庭,1995,(11):956-968(英文版).
[9] 王济川,郭志刚.Logistic 回归模型——方法与应用[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2001.
[10] 洪楠,侯军.SAS for Windows(v8)统计分析系统教程新编[M].北京:清华大学出版社,北京交通大学出版社,2004.
[1] Lee B H,Deininger R A.Optimal location of monitoring stations in water distribution system[J].Envir Engrg,1992,118(1):4-16.
[2] SUN Ying. On-line monitoring of water quality in the net-work[J].Water Purification Technology,2004,23(6):34-36(in Chinese).
[3] XUN Yang,ZHU Jian-ping. Water quality monitoring system of net-work in Hangzhou[J]. Water & Wastewater Engineering,2002,28(2):91-93(in Chinese).
[4] GAO Zhan-xiang. Some problems of automatic environmental water quality monitoring system[J]. Urban Environment & Urban Ecology,2002,15(4):39-40(in Chinese).
[5]ZHOU Jian-hua,ZHAO Hong-bin,XUE Gang. A kinetic model of chlorine decay reacting with organics in water distribution systems[J]. Environmental Science,2003,23(3):45-49(in Chinese).
[6] Manuel J R,Jean-B Serodes. Assessing empirical linear and non-linear modeling of residual chlorine in urban drinking water systems[J].Environmental Modeling & Software,1999,14:93-102.
[7] Lewis A Rossman,Paul F Boulos. Numerical methods for modeling water quality in distribution systems:a comparison [J].Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management,1996,(2):137-146.
[8] DeMaris,Alfred.A tutorial in logistic regression [J]. Journal of Marriage and the Family,1995,(11):956-968.
[9] WANG Ji-chuan,GUO Zhi-gang. Logistic Regression Models:Methods and Application[M]. Beijing:Higher Education Press,2001(in Chinese).
[10] HONG Nan,HOU Jun. SAS for Windows(v8)Statistic Analysis System Tutorial[M]. Beijing:Tsinghua University Press,Beijing Jiaotong University Press,2004(in Chinese).

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2006-09-12
基金项目:国家“十五”科技攻关资助项目(2002AA601120);天津市科委社会发展资助项目(033113111)
作者简介:田一梅(1959-),女(汉族),天津市人,天津大学副教授.E-mail:ymtian_2000@yahoo.com.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 2007-12-09